The American Vote
New Deal CoalitionCycle 41 / 60

1948

A fractured coalition still wins.
Harry S. Truman (Democratic) defeated Thomas E. Dewey (Republican), 49.5% to 45.1%.
Truman
303 EV
Dewey
189 EV
Other
39 EV
0270 to win → 266531
The map · 1948
28 states for Dem · 16 for Rep
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Narrative

A fractured coalition still wins

In the greatest political upset in American history, Truman defeated the heavily favored Dewey despite nearly every poll and pundit predicting a Dewey victory. The famous photograph of a grinning Truman holding a Chicago Tribune front page reading 'Dewey Defeats Truman' captured the shock. The Democratic Party had fractured — Strom Thurmond's Dixiecrats took 39 electoral votes, and Henry Wallace's Progressive Party drew liberal votes — yet Truman prevailed by running an aggressive 'whistle-stop' campaign across the country.

Key issue

Civil rights; postwar economy; Cold War with the Soviet Union; New Deal continuation

Notable

'Dewey Defeats Truman' — greatest upset in US political history; 4-party race

States · 48 reporting