The American Vote
Modern PolarizationCycle 58 / 60

2016

A popular vote split with decisive state flips.
Donald Trump (Republican) defeated Hillary Clinton (Democratic), 46.1% to 48.2%.
Trump
304 EV
Clinton
227 EV
Other
7 EV
0270 to win → 270538
The map · 2016
30 states for Rep · 21 for Dem
ALAKAZARCACOFLGAIDILINIAKSKYLAMEMIMNMSMOMTNENVNMNYNCNDOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWVWIWY
Narrative

A popular vote split with decisive state flips

Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in one of the most shocking upsets in American political history, winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes. Trump flipped the 'Blue Wall' of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania — states Democrats had won for decades — by narrow margins on a wave of white working-class resentment. FBI Director Comey's late October letter about Clinton's emails, and Russian social media interference, were widely seen as influential. Seven faithless electors defected, the most since 1872.

Key issue

Immigration; trade deals; 'Make America Great Again'; Clinton email controversy; globalization backlash

Notable

Trump lost popular vote by 2.9 million yet won EC; 7 faithless electors — most since 1872

States · 51 reporting