The American Vote
Cold War RealignmentCycle 51 / 60

1988

George H. W. Bush and the 1988 map.
George H. W. Bush (Republican) defeated Michael Dukakis (Democratic), 53.4% to 45.6% of the popular vote.

The 1988 U.S. presidential election was won by George H. W. Bush (Republican) with 426 of 538 electoral votes, defeating Michael Dukakis (Democratic). Electoral-vote margin: 315 (426 to 111). Popular-vote margin: 7.7 percentage points. Turnout was 52.8%. The cycle falls in the Cold War Realignment era of American electoral history.

Bush
426 EV
Dukakis
111 EV
0270 to win538
The map · 1988
40 states for Rep · 11 for Dem
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Open the what-if calculator → — flip states and re-count. A toy, not history.

Narrative

George H. W. Bush and the 1988 map

Vice President George H. W. Bush won decisively over Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis by effectively tying himself to Reagan's popular legacy. The campaign is remembered for vicious negative advertising, including the Willie Horton ad attacking Dukakis on crime, and Dukakis's awkward photo in a tank. Dukakis had led in polls after the Democratic convention but faltered in the fall. Bush promised to continue Reaganomics and won the South and much of the Midwest handily.

Key issue

Reagan legacy; crime (Willie Horton ad); defense; taxes ('Read my lips')

Notable

Willie Horton ad pioneered modern negative campaigning; Dukakis tank photo was mocked nationally

This summary was drafted with AI tools and has not yet been checked sentence by sentence. The vote table and the National Archives note on this page come from named sources; where they differ from the summary, rely on them. Tell us about an error.

From the National Archives

A West Virginia elector voted for Bentsen as President and Dukakis as Vice President.

National Archives, Electoral College results for 1988, archives.gov, read October 3, 2026. Quoted as published.

States · 51 reporting

State results · 1988

Popular vote by state, with each state's electoral votes.
Closest states
  1. Washington Dukakis by 29,681 · 1.6 pts
  2. Illinois Bush by 94,999 · 2.1 pts
  3. Pennsylvania Bush by 105,143 · 2.3 pts
  4. Maryland Bush by 49,863 · 2.9 pts
  5. Vermont Bush by 8,556 · 3.5 pts
Tipping point

MichiganBush won it by 7.9 points; its electoral votes took the total to 278, past the 270 needed.

Line up the states the winner carried from widest margin to narrowest and add up their electoral votes: the tipping point is the state that takes the total past a majority.

Scroll the table sideways for every column.

1988 presidential election results by state: popular vote, margin and electoral votes
StateElectoral votes
George H. W. Bush
Rep
Michael Dukakis
Dem
Also namedMarginLeader
Alabama
9 EV
815,576
59.2%
549,506
39.9%
None
266,070
19.3 pts
Bush Rep
Alaska
3 EV
119,251
59.6%
72,584
36.3%
Ron Paul 5,484 · 2.7%
46,667
23.3 pts
Bush Rep
Arizona
7 EV
702,541
60.0%
454,029
38.7%
Ron Paul 13,351 · 1.1%
248,512
21.2 pts
Bush Rep
Arkansas
6 EV
466,578
56.4%
349,237
42.2%
None
117,341
14.2 pts
Bush Rep
California
47 EV
5,054,917
51.1%
4,702,233
47.6%
None
352,684
3.6 pts
Bush Rep
Colorado
8 EV
728,177
53.1%
621,453
45.3%
Ron Paul 15,482 · 1.1%
106,724
7.8 pts
Bush Rep
Connecticut
8 EV
750,241
52.0%
676,584
46.9%
None
73,657
5.1 pts
Bush Rep
Delaware
3 EV
139,639
55.9%
108,647
43.5%
None
30,992
12.4 pts
Bush Rep
District of Columbia1
3 EV
27,590
14.3%
159,407
82.6%
None
131,817
68.3 pts
Dukakis Dem
Florida
21 EV
2,618,885
60.9%
1,656,701
38.5%
None
962,184
22.4 pts
Bush Rep
Georgia
12 EV
1,081,331
59.8%
714,792
39.5%
None
366,539
20.3 pts
Bush Rep
Hawaii
4 EV
158,625
44.8%
192,364
54.3%
None
33,739
9.5 pts
Dukakis Dem
Idaho
4 EV
253,881
62.1%
147,272
36.0%
Ron Paul 5,313 · 1.3%
106,609
26.1 pts
Bush Rep
Illinois
24 EV
2,310,939
50.7%
2,215,940
48.6%
None
94,999
2.1 pts
Bush Rep
Indiana
12 EV
1,297,763
59.8%
860,643
39.7%
None
437,120
20.2 pts
Bush Rep
Iowa
8 EV
545,355
44.5%
670,557
54.7%
None
125,202
10.2 pts
Dukakis Dem
Kansas2
7 EV
554,049
55.8%
422,636
42.6%
None
131,413
13.2 pts
Bush Rep
Kentucky
9 EV
734,281
55.5%
580,368
43.9%
None
153,913
11.6 pts
Bush Rep
Louisiana
10 EV
883,702
54.3%
717,460
44.1%
David Duke 18,612 · 1.1%
166,242
10.2 pts
Bush Rep
Maine
4 EV
307,131
55.3%
243,569
43.9%
None
63,562
11.5 pts
Bush Rep
Maryland
10 EV
876,167
51.1%
826,304
48.2%
None
49,863
2.9 pts
Bush Rep
Massachusetts
13 EV
1,194,635
45.4%
1,401,415
53.2%
None
206,780
7.9 pts
Dukakis Dem
Michigan
20 EV
1,965,486
53.6%
1,675,783
45.7%
None
289,703
7.9 pts
Bush Rep
Minnesota
10 EV
962,337
45.9%
1,109,471
52.9%
None
147,134
7.0 pts
Dukakis Dem
Mississippi
7 EV
557,890
59.9%
363,921
39.1%
None
193,969
20.8 pts
Bush Rep
Missouri
11 EV
1,084,953
51.8%
1,001,619
47.9%
None
83,334
4.0 pts
Bush Rep
Montana
4 EV
190,412
52.1%
168,936
46.2%
Ron Paul 5,047 · 1.4%
21,476
5.9 pts
Bush Rep
Nebraska
5 EV
397,956
60.2%
259,235
39.2%
None
138,721
21.0 pts
Bush Rep
Nevada
4 EV
206,040
60.0%
132,738
38.7%
Ron Paul 3,520 · 1.0%
73,302
21.4 pts
Bush Rep
New Hampshire
4 EV
281,537
62.5%
163,696
36.3%
None
117,841
26.2 pts
Bush Rep
New Jersey
16 EV
1,743,192
56.2%
1,320,352
42.6%
None
422,840
13.6 pts
Bush Rep
New Mexico
5 EV
270,341
51.9%
244,497
46.9%
None
25,844
5.0 pts
Bush Rep
New York
36 EV
3,081,871
47.5%
3,347,882
51.6%
None
266,011
4.1 pts
Dukakis Dem
North Carolina
13 EV
1,237,258
58.0%
890,167
41.7%
None
347,091
16.3 pts
Bush Rep
North Dakota
3 EV
166,559
56.0%
127,739
43.0%
None
38,820
13.1 pts
Bush Rep
Ohio
23 EV
2,416,549
55.0%
1,939,629
44.1%
None
476,920
10.9 pts
Bush Rep
Oklahoma
8 EV
678,367
57.9%
483,423
41.3%
None
194,944
16.6 pts
Bush Rep
Oregon
7 EV
560,126
46.6%
616,206
51.3%
Ron Paul 14,811 · 1.2%
56,080
4.7 pts
Dukakis Dem
Pennsylvania
25 EV
2,300,087
50.7%
2,194,944
48.4%
None
105,143
2.3 pts
Bush Rep
Rhode Island
4 EV
177,761
43.9%
225,123
55.6%
None
47,362
11.7 pts
Dukakis Dem
South Carolina
8 EV
606,443
61.5%
370,554
37.6%
None
235,889
23.9 pts
Bush Rep
South Dakota
3 EV
165,415
52.8%
145,560
46.5%
None
19,855
6.3 pts
Bush Rep
Tennessee
11 EV
947,233
57.9%
679,794
41.5%
None
267,439
16.3 pts
Bush Rep
Texas
29 EV
3,036,829
56.0%
2,352,748
43.3%
None
684,081
12.6 pts
Bush Rep
Utah
5 EV
428,442
66.2%
207,343
32.0%
Ron Paul 7,473 · 1.2%
221,099
34.2 pts
Bush Rep
Vermont
3 EV
124,331
51.1%
115,775
47.6%
None
8,556
3.5 pts
Bush Rep
Virginia
12 EV
1,309,162
59.7%
859,799
39.2%
None
449,363
20.5 pts
Bush Rep
Washington
10 EV
903,835
48.5%
933,516
50.0%
None
29,681
1.6 pts
Dukakis Dem
West Virginia
6 EV
Dukakis 5, Bentsen 1 (cast by one elector)
310,065
47.5%
341,016
52.2%
None
30,951
4.7 pts
Dukakis Dem
Wisconsin
11 EV
1,047,499
47.8%
1,126,794
51.4%
None
79,295
3.6 pts
Dukakis Dem
Wyoming
3 EV
106,867
60.5%
67,113
38.0%
Ron Paul 2,026 · 1.1%
39,754
22.5 pts
Bush Rep

Shares are of each state’s total vote for president. “Not named”: the figures do not give that candidate a line of their own in that state — for example under 1% of the vote, not on the ballot there, or counted on an unnamed line (see the state’s note). Margin is the leader’s lead over the second-placed candidate.

Notes on the figures

  1. District of Columbia The source reports 3,064 votes under the label 'Independent' on one line with no candidate name, so the people they went to cannot be shown separately; they are counted in 'Other candidates'.
  2. Kansas The source reports 16,359 votes under the label 'Independent' on one line with no candidate name, so the people they went to cannot be shown separately; they are counted in 'Other candidates'.

SourceMIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. President 1976–2024 (CC0 1.0, retrieved 2026-10-03). How these figures were compiled